── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tristan Schoolkate a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tristan Schoolkate
Elias Ymer
56%44%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tristan Schoolkate
33th · below avg
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Return
Tristan Schoolkate
9th · poor
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#154
model rank
#168
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
SWE
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tristan Schoolkate■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | Q2 | Tristan Schoolkate | 6-4 3-1 RET |