── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tristan Schoolkate 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tristan Schoolkate
Marc Polmans
70%30%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tristan Schoolkate
40th · below avg
Marc Polmans
2th · poor
Return
Tristan Schoolkate
8th · poor
Marc Polmans
4th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#157
model rank
#186
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tristan Schoolkate■ Marc Polmans
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–2
Grass0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Mexico City CH | Clay | R16 | Tristan Schoolkate | 7-6(5) 7-5 |
| 2024-07-15 | Newport | Grass | Q2 | Marc Polmans | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2024-04-01 | Mexico City CH | Clay | R32 | Marc Polmans | 6-3 2-6 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | M25 Canberra | Clay | SF | Marc Polmans | 6-4 5-7 6-4 |