── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tristan Schoolkate
Lorenzo Sonego
31%69%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tristan Schoolkate
33th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Tristan Schoolkate
9th · poor
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#154
model rank
#87
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ITA
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tristan Schoolkate■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Tristan Schoolkate | 6-3 7-6(8) 1-6 1-6 7-6(6) |