── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 90% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tristan Schoolkate
Joao Fonseca
10%90%
Hard: 11% / 89%
Clay: 5% / 95%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tristan Schoolkate
33th · below avg
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Return
Tristan Schoolkate
9th · poor
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#154
model rank
#10
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
BRA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tristan Schoolkate■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Tristan Schoolkate | 7-6(5) 6-4 |