── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yoshihito Nishioka a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Coleman Wong
Yoshihito Nishioka
46%54%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 63% / 37%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Coleman Wong
39th · below avg
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Coleman Wong
13th · poor
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#143
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
HKG
country
JPN
191cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Coleman WongYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Delray BeachHardQ1Coleman Wong6-2 6-2