── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Coleman Wong
Brandon Nakashima
24%76%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 4% / 96%
Grass: 18% / 82%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Coleman Wong
39th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Coleman Wong
13th · poor
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#143
model rank
#42
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
HKG
country
USA
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Coleman WongBrandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Delray BeachHardR16Coleman Wong6-4 7-6(4)
2024-09-18HangzhouHardR16Brandon Nakashima6-7(7) 7-6(4) 6-1