── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Coleman Wong 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Coleman Wong
Shintaro Mochizuki
63%37%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Coleman Wong
39th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Coleman Wong
13th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#143
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
HKG
country
JPN
191cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Coleman WongShintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardQ2Coleman Wong7-6(5) 6-3
2024-11-18Yokohama CHHardR16Coleman Wong7-6(2) 6-3