── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gabriel Diallo 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Coleman Wong
Gabriel Diallo
36%64%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 7% / 93%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Coleman Wong
39th · below avg
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Coleman Wong
13th · poor
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#143
model rank
#93
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
HKG
country
CAN
191cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Coleman WongGabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05Hong KongHardR16Coleman Wong1-6 7-5 7-5
2024-08-12Cary CHHardR32Gabriel Diallo6-2 1-6 6-2