── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luca Van Assche
Andrey Rublev
33%67%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luca Van Assche
17th · poor
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Return
Luca Van Assche
86th · strong
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#68
model rank
#28
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Luca Van Assche■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-24EstorilClayQFLuca Van Assche3-6 6-3 6-4
2024-07-29WashingtonHardR32Andrey Rublev4-6 6-3 6-4