── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Molcan 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luca Van Assche
Alex Molcan
38%62%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 28% / 72%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luca Van Assche
15th · poor
Alex Molcan
29th · below avg
Return
Luca Van Assche
79th · strong
Alex Molcan
79th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#115
model rank
#67
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
FRA
country
SVK
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luca Van AsscheAlex Molcan
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-27Quimper CHHardR16Luca Van Assche6-4 6-4
2023-09-25Orleans CHHardR32Luca Van Assche1-6 7-6(2) 6-3
2023-07-31KitzbuhelClayR32Alex Molcan6-4 6-3