── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luca Van Assche 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Van Assche
Pavel Kotov
67%33%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Van Assche
17th · poor
Pavel Kotov
38th · below avg
Return
Luca Van Assche
86th · strong
Pavel Kotov
6th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#68
model rank
#140
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
178cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Van Assche■ Pavel Kotov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Pau CH | Hard | R32 | Luca Van Assche | 6-3 3-0 RET |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Luca Van Assche | 6-3 7-5 |