── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luca Van Assche 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Van Assche
Hugo Gaston
61%39%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Van Assche
17th · poor
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Return
Luca Van Assche
86th · strong
Hugo Gaston
61th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#68
model rank
#111
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
FRA
country
FRA
178cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Van Assche■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Quebec City CH | Hard | SF | Luca Van Assche | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Estoril | Clay | SF | Luca Van Assche | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2026-03-30 | Marrakech | Clay | R32 | Luca Van Assche | 6-4 7-6(5) |