── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luca Van Assche 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Luca Van Assche
Timofey Skatov
76%24%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 28% / 72%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Luca Van Assche
17th · poor
Timofey Skatov
7th · poor
Return
Luca Van Assche
86th · strong
Timofey Skatov
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#68
model rank
#176
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
KAZ
178cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Luca Van Assche■ Timofey Skatov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Oeiras 3 CH | Clay | R32 | Luca Van Assche | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q2 | Luca Van Assche | 6-7(3) 6-2 6-2 |