── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luca Van Assche a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Luca Van Assche
Alexander Shevchenko
52%48%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Luca Van Assche
15th · poor
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Luca Van Assche
79th · strong
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#115
model rank
#124
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
KAZ
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Luca Van AsscheAlexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
Clay11
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-27Quimper CHHardR32Luca Van Assche6-4 6-4
2024-01-01BrisbaneHardR32Alexander Shevchenko6-3 6-2
2022-06-13Blois CHClayR32Luca Van Assche7-6(5) 6-2
2022-04-18Split CHClayQ2Alexander Shevchenko6-2 6-2