── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ignacio Buse 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ignacio Buse
Adrian Mannarino
64%36%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Return
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#58
model rank
#106
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
PER
country
FRA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ignacio Buse■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Ignacio Buse | 6-4 6-2 |