── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ignacio Buse 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ignacio Buse
Adrian Mannarino
74%26%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 11% / 89%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
PER
country
FRA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ignacio Buse■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Ignacio Buse | 6-4 6-2 |