── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ignacio Buse 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ignacio Buse
Thiago Monteiro
78%22%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Return
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#146
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
PER
country
BRA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ignacio Buse■ Thiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 | Lisbon CH | Clay | R16 | Ignacio Buse | 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2025-03-10 | Santiago CH | Clay | SF | Thiago Monteiro | 7-5 7-6(4) |