── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ignacio Buse
Tommy Paul
35%65%
Hard: 15% / 85%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 7% / 93%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Return
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#14
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
PER
country
USA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ignacio Buse■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Hamburg | Clay | F | Ignacio Buse | 7-6(6) 4-6 6-3 |