── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ignacio Buse
Matteo Berrettini
50%50%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 4% / 96%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Return
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#40
model rank
#38
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
PER
country
ITA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ignacio Buse■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Marrakech | Clay | R32 | Ignacio Buse | 7-6(5) 6-7(2) 6-4 |
| 2026-02-16 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | QF | Ignacio Buse | 6-3 2-6 6-3 |