── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ignacio Buse
Stefanos Tsitsipas
38%62%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#58
model rank
#29
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
PER
country
GRE
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Ignacio Buse■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay0–1
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-14GstaadClayR32Stefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-4
2026-06-23MallorcaGrassR32Ignacio Buse7-6(4) 6-3