── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ignacio Buse 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ignacio Buse
Lorenzo Sonego
61%39%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 22% / 78%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#58
model rank
#98
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
PER
country
ITA
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ignacio Buse■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Ignacio Buse | 6-3 6-3 |