── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ignacio Buse 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ignacio Buse
Adam Walton
66%34%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 28% / 72%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Adam Walton
42th · average
Return
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Adam Walton
53th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#58
model rank
#119
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
PER
country
AUS
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Ignacio Buse■ Adam Walton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardR32Ignacio Buse6-2 5-7 6-3
2026-08-17Cincinnati MastersHardR64Adam Walton6-4 6-3