── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ignacio Buse
Joao Fonseca
31%69%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Joao Fonseca
83th · strong
Return
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Joao Fonseca
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#58
model rank
#15
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
PER
country
BRA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ignacio Buse■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | R16 | Ignacio Buse | 5-7 6-3 6-4 |