── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Martin Damm
61%39%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
USA
191cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Martin Damm
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Pau CH | Hard | R16 | Raphael Collignon | 7-6(5) 7-6(5) |