── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Stan Wawrinka
78%22%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#116
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
SUI
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Bratislava 2 CH | Hard | R16 | Raphael Collignon | 6-2 6-4 |