── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Stan Wawrinka
69%31%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
69th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Stan Wawrinka
16th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
SUI
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Bratislava 2 CH | Hard | R16 | Raphael Collignon | 6-2 6-4 |