── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Fabio Fognini
75%25%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Fabio Fognini
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ITA
191cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-31MarrakechClayR32Raphael Collignon6-3 6-3