── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Fabio Fognini
84%16%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ITA
191cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings