── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Roberto Bautista Agut
70%30%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ESP
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-15HalleGrassQ2Raphael Collignon6-2 6-4