── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Adrian Mannarino
81%19%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
FRA
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | R32 | Raphael Collignon | 6-3 7-6(5) |