── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Grigor Dimitrov
59%41%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 9% / 91%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#41
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
BUL
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Raphael Collignon | 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(6) |
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R16 | Raphael Collignon | 7-6(1) 6-3 |