── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Grigor Dimitrov
49%51%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 20% / 80%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Raphael Collignon
49th · average
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#54
model rank
#52
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
BUL
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR128Raphael Collignon7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(6)
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardR16Raphael Collignon7-6(1) 6-3