── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Christopher Oconnell
65%35%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
49th · average
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#54
model rank
#104
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-06Monza CHClayR32Raphael Collignon6-2 6-2