── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Christopher Oconnell
83%17%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 43% / 57%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#142
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Raphael CollignonChristopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-06Monza CHClayR32Raphael Collignon6-2 6-2