── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Borna Coric
71%29%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Borna Coric
66th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Borna Coric
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#79
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
CRO
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Borna Coric
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | Lugano CH | Hard | F | Borna Coric | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2024-11-11 | Lyon 2 CH | Hard | QF | Raphael Collignon | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |