── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Daniel Elahi Galan
87%13%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Daniel Elahi Galan
17th · poor
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Daniel Elahi Galan
16th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#161
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
COL
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Raphael CollignonDaniel Elahi Galan
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Raphael Collignon6-4 6-4 6-4
2024-12-30Canberra CHHardR32Daniel Elahi Galan6-2 3-6 6-2