── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Aleksandar Vukic
85%15%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#152
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
AUS
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Raphael CollignonAleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
Hard10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Raphael Collignon6-3 6-3 7-6(4)
2025-09-13Davis Cup QLS R2: AUS vs BELHardRRRaphael Collignon6-7(5) 6-2 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayQ1Aleksandar Vukic6-4 4-6 6-4