── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Aleksandar Vukic
72%28%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 58% / 42%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
35th · below avg
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Aleksandar Vukic
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#145
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
AUS
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Raphael Collignon6-3 6-3 7-6(4)
2025-09-13Davis Cup QLS R2: AUS vs BELHardRRRaphael Collignon6-7(5) 6-2 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayQ1Aleksandar Vukic6-4 4-6 6-4