── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Lorenzo Sonego
63%37%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#98
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ITA
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Gstaad | Clay | R16 | Raphael Collignon | 7-6(2) 7-6(5) |