── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Denis Shapovalov
69%31%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
CAN
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings