── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Denis Shapovalov
49%51%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#49
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
CAN
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings