── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Casper Ruud
40%60%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
NOR
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 7-6(2) 6-2 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Raphael Collignon | 6-4 3-6 3-6 6-4 7-5 |