── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Tallon Griekspoor
65%35%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 13% / 87%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#52
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
NED
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Raphael CollignonTallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-12Bordeaux CHClaySFRaphael Collignon7-5 6-1