── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Tomas Barrios Vera
79%21%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 25% / 75%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#121
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
CHI
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Tomas Barrios Vera
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Cap Cana CH | Hard | R32 | Raphael Collignon | 7-6(4) 6-3 |