── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Corentin Moutet
66%34%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 18% / 82%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
FRA
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | Davis Cup Finals QF: FRA vs BEL | Hard | RR | Raphael Collignon | 2-6 7-5 7-5 |