── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Corentin Moutet
64%36%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
FRA
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | Davis Cup Finals QF: FRA vs BEL | Hard | RR | Raphael Collignon | 2-6 7-5 7-5 |