── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Vacherot 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Valentin Vacherot
42%58%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
MON
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-17GstaadClayQFRaphael Collignon7-6(7) 4-6 7-5
2023-01-09Oeiras 2 CHHardR32Raphael Collignon7-5 6-4
2022-01-17M15 MonastirHardFValentin Vacherot6-3 6-4