── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Timofey Skatov
80%20%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Timofey Skatov
7th · poor
Return
Raphael Collignon
49th · average
Timofey Skatov
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#54
model rank
#176
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
KAZ
191cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Timofey Skatov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Gstaad | Clay | R32 | Raphael Collignon | 3-6 7-6(1) 6-4 |
| 2025-08-04 | Bonn CH | Clay | SF | Timofey Skatov | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |