── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
53%47%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
45th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
54th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#62
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
ARG
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Juan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–2
Grass0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Gstaad | Clay | SF | Raphael Collignon | 1-6 7-6(5) 7-5 |
| 2026-06-22 | Eastbourne | Grass | R32 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-4 4-6 7-6(5) |
| 2026-05-12 | Bordeaux CH | Clay | F | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 5-7 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2025-07-07 | Braunschweig CH | Clay | QF | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |