── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Alexander Shevchenko
71%29%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#137
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
KAZ
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-12Bordeaux CHClayR16Raphael Collignon7-6(5) 4-0 RET
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardQ1Raphael Collignon7-5 6-4