── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Raphael Collignon
Alexander Shevchenko
80%20%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#124
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
KAZ
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Raphael Collignon■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Bordeaux CH | Clay | R16 | Raphael Collignon | 7-6(5) 4-0 RET |
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | Q1 | Raphael Collignon | 7-5 6-4 |