── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Flavio Cobolli
51%49%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 18% / 82%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#25
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ITA
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Raphael CollignonFlavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Raphael Collignon7-5 6-3