── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Flavio Cobolli
46%54%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ITA
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Raphael Collignon7-5 6-3