── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Luca Van Assche
55%45%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 75% / 25%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Luca Van Assche
17th · poor
Return
Raphael Collignon
49th · average
Luca Van Assche
86th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#54
model rank
#68
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
FRA
191cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Luca Van Assche
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
Hard2–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-06Monza CHClayQFRaphael Collignon6-4 6-0
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardR16Raphael Collignon7-5 6-4
2026-02-09Pau CHHardQFRaphael Collignon6-2 6-4
2024-06-10Lyon CHClayQFRaphael Collignon7-5 6-3