── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Luca Van Assche
78%22%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 57% / 43%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Luca Van Assche
15th · poor
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Luca Van Assche
79th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
FRA
191cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Raphael CollignonLuca Van Assche
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
Hard20
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-06Monza CHClayQFRaphael Collignon6-4 6-0
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardR16Raphael Collignon7-5 6-4
2026-02-09Pau CHHardQFRaphael Collignon6-2 6-4
2024-06-10Lyon CHClayQFRaphael Collignon7-5 6-3