── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Ben Shelton
47%53%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#18
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
USA
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Raphael CollignonBen Shelton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Raphael Collignon6-4 7-5 6-4