── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Ben Shelton
21%79%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 19% / 81%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Return
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Ben Shelton
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#5
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
USA
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Ben Shelton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-29Roland GarrosClayR64Raphael Collignon6-4 7-5 6-4
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Raphael Collignon6-4 7-5 6-4