── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Ethan Quinn
72%28%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 35% / 65%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Ethan Quinn
52th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Ethan Quinn
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#81
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
USA
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Raphael CollignonEthan Quinn
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardQ2Raphael Collignon7-5 6-3