── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Raphael Collignon
Ethan Quinn
54%46%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Ethan Quinn
65th · average
Return
Raphael Collignon
49th · average
Ethan Quinn
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#54
model rank
#63
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
USA
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Raphael Collignon■ Ethan Quinn
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardQ2Raphael Collignon7-5 6-3