── the model's take · model grid · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Fils
Alexander Zverev
30%70%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 35% / 65%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
GER
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur FilsAlexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
Clay12
Grass01
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardQFAlexander Zverev6-2 6-3
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR16Alexander Zverev7-6(3) 6-1
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR16Arthur Fils3-6 6-3 6-4
2024-10-28Paris MastersHardR16Alexander Zverev6-4 3-6 6-3
2024-07-15HamburgClayFArthur Fils6-3 3-6 7-6(1)
2024-06-17HalleGrassQFAlexander Zverev6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2023-07-24HamburgClaySFAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4