── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Nicolas Jarry
87%13%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
CHI
185cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Arthur Fils | 6-3 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 |

