── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Andrey Rublev
70%30%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Return
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#28
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–1
Hard0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | F | Arthur Fils | 6-2 7-6(2) |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Andrey Rublev | W/O |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Arthur Fils | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-01-01 | Hong Kong | Hard | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 1-6 6-2 |