── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Frances Tiafoe
67%33%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Arthur Fils | 7-6(11) 5-7 6-2 |